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Microsoft's Plan B for Search
Still smarting from a failed attempt to buy Yahoo! (YHOO), Microsoft (MSFT) is trying another tactic to gain on Google (GOOG) in Web search.
Microsoft wants to buy Powerset, which is developing what it hopes is a smarter way to search the Web. Powerset uses so-called "semantic Web" technology that brings up results based on an understanding of a word's meaning and the context of its use. That's in contrast to the method used by the major search engines, which work primarily by matching words in queries to those on Web pages. News of Microsoft's interest in Powerset was reported June 26 by industry blog VentureBeat. According to the article, Microsoft has offered more than $100 million to acquire the company. A person close to Powerset says several search engines have expressed interest in the company and that a deal with Microsoft has not been finalized. Microsoft and Powerset spokespeople declined to comment.
If the deal were to go through, Microsoft could get a big leg up in efforts to catch Google. Powerset and other semantic search engines outperform Google in some cases (BusinessWeek.com, 9/17/07). They respond particularly well when users want detailed answers to questions in specific subject categories for which there are a lot of Web pages with similar keywords, such as health or law. "Semantic search takes it to the third level," says Eric Tilenius, an early investor in Powerset and Kango, which applies semantic search technology to travel.
What's more, semantic search wouldn't be easy for Google to replicate. Large search engines, such as Google and Microsoft, have already scanned and indexed many of the pages on the Web. So their machines can concentrate efforts on analyzing the several million new Web sites created every year and adding them to their records. Adopting semantic search technology would require the big guys, in essence, to start from the beginning—rescanning every Web page according to the technology's fundamentally different method of analyzing and classifying Web pages. "You cannot do a patch job," says Rizzo Berkan, chief executive of Hakia, a semantic search engine working on scanning the entire Web. "We are building everything from scratch and this is what it takes to make it."
"Best Shot"
The technology itself is difficult to develop. Though Google has hired some semantic search experts, the technology behind semantic search engines has been in development for the better part of a decade. "Microsoft's acquisition of Powerset [if it does indeed go through] makes perfect sense and is probably the best shot at a disruptive technology that might allow it to leapfrog Google," says Andrei Hagiu, assistant professor of strategy, focusing on technology, at Harvard Business School.
Of course, Microsoft would have to rescan all its pages, too. But with just a portion of the $46 billion it was willing to pay for Yahoo, Microsoft could invest in the necessary equipment, such as the servers needed to scan and "read" all those pages. Plus, it has the underdog's willingness to take on risk and expense in hopes of finally generating search results that can rival Google's. (Google grabbed nearly 70% of searches in May, according to research firm Hitwise; Microsoft's share slipped to just under 6%.)
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